GERMANY


In the base vote model, ideology is a statistically significant factor of the vote (for or against) of seven of eight parties.  PPS, which is weakly correlated with ideology (.233 correlation), is a statistically significant predictor of the vote for only one party – the AfD. PPS is also predictive of the vote against the CDU/CSU and the Family Party.

PARTY

PPS

IDEOLOGY

0-1 Scale where
1=Most Populist
0-1 Scale where
1=Right
 Statistically Significant   Statistically Significant 
Alternative for
Deustchland
Yes (for)* Yes (for)
CDU/CSU Yes (against)** Yes (for)
SDP No Yes (against)
Left No Yes (against)
Green No Yes (against)
Free Democratic
Party
No Yes (for)
Pirate Party No Yes(against)
Family Party Yes (against) No

*Where "for" means toward 1.
**Where "against" means toward 0.