In the base model, the higher a French voter’s PPS, the more likely the voter was to support Le Pen in the first round of the presidential election. (This was also true in the second round contest between Le Pen and Macron.) Variables estimated in this model include ideology and PPS, as well as a wide range of demographic variables including age, gender, education marital status, religiosity, employment status, pride in being French, the number of generations a respondent’s family have lived in France, and whether the respondent was born in France. Only PPS, ideology, age, sex and born in France were significant factors predicting support for Le Pen.